We have a deal!

That the UK and the European Union concluded a trade agreement is far from any triumph of diplomatic skill. The real significance of Brexit lays in what the process revealed about both sides.

December 27, 2020
January 21, 2021

What if there was an election and no one cared? Venezuela's Opposition goes out with a whimper

Official turnout in Sunday's Venezuelan National Assembly election was a paltry 31% indicating that Maduro and his ruling PSUV did not even have to bother to rig. The opposition had all but ceased to exist beforehand.

December 8, 2020
December 9, 2020

A Deal at what cost?

Rumors of a breakdown in talks at the last moment between the UK and the EU in the past have been the prelude to the announcement of a new deal, it is unclear why this time should be different.

December 6, 2020
December 7, 2020

Present at the Restoration

Joe Biden's National Security team represents a belief that the Trump years were an aberration. It was the same conclusion Obama's incoming drew in 2009 regarding the Bush years.

November 24, 2020
December 5, 2020

A tale of two landslides: The 2020 Election

Analysis as to what pollsters missed about 2020 ignores what they got right. In 2020 failed to see what would happen. In 2020 pollsters saw everything coming, but rejected their own data.

November 23, 2020
November 23, 2020

Which Polls are right? Thoughts on the state of the race

After 2016. it was a given that skepticism would exist about Presidential polling. That uncertainty has manifested in two polling universes. One show ing a close EC race and a 3-4 point Biden lead and the other a blowout

October 7, 2020
November 3, 2020

Present at One's Own Funeral: David Cameron's Memoirs

There is one character missing from David Cameron's memoirs, whose motives, thoughts, and feelings remain a mystery after hundreds of pages. The author

September 15, 2020
September 17, 2020

The Great Laziness: "The Great" Abandons Historical Accuracy for a Less Compelling and Backwards Fiction

Deviations from the historical record are common in entertainment. What is less common is deviations which make the past appear more backwards socially and less interesting dramatically.

May 23, 2020
May 23, 2020

Covid19: Where I am watching the numbers? - Updated Daily(Latest 4/27/2020)

For all the focus on Covid19 in Europe and the United States, it is the rise in cases and deaths outside of those continents which poses a longer-term threat to a quick economic recovery

April 11, 2020
May 1, 2020

How the Outbreak of the Corona-virus in Iran May Cause a Geopolitical Earthquake

All signs point to an uncontrolled outbreak of Ncov19 among Iran's political and military elite. The virus has the potential to not just topple the Iranian regime but reshape the Middle East.

February 26, 2020
February 26, 2020

Merkel Alone: Merkel's System is Sturdy But Lacks a Future

The resignation of Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauern was not a blow to the Chancellor per se. Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer had already failed. But it raises questions whether anyone else can continue it.

February 10, 2020
February 10, 2020

The Real Problem with the Democratic Race is not Ideology but Boredom

After years of 24/7 crisis coverage by MSNBC and CNN, and complex intercene squabbles on left twitter, the Democrats have produced the most insider-friendly campaign in history. No wonder the public is tuning out

February 6, 2020
February 6, 2020

Why Republican Should Be Wary of Bernie Sanders

Republicans are eager to face Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders this fall, but should be wary of rushing into a manichean battle against Socialism without the proper groundwork having been laid

February 5, 2020
February 5, 2020

A Way out of the Brexit Impasse

Discussion has focused on Parliament's passage of legislation outlawing "No Deal" in terms of British domestic politics. But by allowing the EU to submit extensions to a Commons vote it opens a different option.

September 6, 2019
September 15, 2019

Jeremy Corbyn Holds No Deal in His Hands

A majority in Parliament probably will be able to stop a No Deal Brexit and almost everyone assumes it will. But all such assumptions rest on Jeremy Corbyn cooperating. The real question is why should he?

June 15, 2019
July 17, 2019

The Only Way for the Conservatives to Win on Brexit is to Lose

There is a lack of reality about the Conservative leadership contest that goes beyond basic math or parliamentary arithmetic. No one considers what they hope Brexit will accomplish.

June 11, 2019
June 15, 2019

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