Taiwan's Election and US Planning

While Washington is treating Beijing's intentions like a mystery box, Beijing is very clear that its approach to Taiwan is political first, with military to only follow a failure.

February 21, 2023
March 10, 2023

The United States and the Turkish Elections

The United States will face a careful balancing act as Erdogan confronts the greatest challenge to his rule in over two decades. A wrong move could push Turkey into the arms of Moscow and Beijing.

February 2, 2023
March 9, 2023

Brazil's Violent Transition

Contrary to the charges of conspiracists the United States played no role in the recent violence in Brazil's capital. A failure to reckon with polarization there will be rebound against the United States nonetheless.

January 12, 2023
March 9, 2023

Latin America's Unstable Pink Tide

For all the discussion about a "Pink Tide" in Latin America, the only left-leaning governments which are not in trouble are those which have yet to take office.

January 5, 2023
March 10, 2023

A Letter from London's New Winter of Discontent

A winter in a London on strike, without access to the NHS, with friends forgoing heat, and a government drifting aimlessly recalls stories of the 1970s.

December 30, 2022
March 9, 2023

Khamenei, the Succession, and the Collapsing Iranian Regime

A narrowing inner-circle, purges of the entire state apparatus, and popularity conflated with sedition. Khamenei's management of the Islamic Republic resembles the Shah's final years.

December 2, 2022
March 9, 2023

Biden, the Politicization of Ukraine Aid, and Declining Support

The Biden Team have done well to champion aid to Ukraine, but the efforts to wield the issue as a weapon against Donald Trump and his supporters at home have contributed to declining public support for aid.

November 17, 2022
March 9, 2023

Bibi's Return

Netanyahu's victory reinforces the fact that for now he is the only man able to bridge Israel's divides and coopt the nation's fragmented political forces.

November 3, 2022
March 9, 2023

The Fall of Liz Truss

The fall of Liz Truss solves one of the City of London's problems, but few of the Conservative Party's and none of Britain's.

October 23, 2022
March 9, 2023

Putin's Nuclear Threats

Putin's nuclear threats should be taken for what they are. Expressions of frustration, not an indicator of immanent action.

October 17, 2022
March 9, 2023

The Challenge Facing Liz Truss

Damned if she does, damned if she doesn't. Liz Truss confronts a British economy in long-term decline with few tools.

September 30, 2022
March 9, 2023

Italy's Elections

The coverage of Italy's elections is high on alarmism about an inflated "fascist" threat and scarce when it comes to analysis of what actually transpired.

September 27, 2022
March 9, 2023

Iran Doesn't Want a Deal

The Biden Administration has been slow to grasp that internal dynamics in Iran mean that Tehran is not interested in a new nuclear accord.

September 26, 2022
March 9, 2023

The Battle to Replace Boris Johnson

Originally published by AMAC at https://amac.us/the-battle-to-replace-boris-johnson/

September 26, 2022
September 21, 2022

No one is engaging with the need for a sustainable endgame in Ukraine

( This was originally featured on Amac under a different title https://amac.us/ukraine-silences-doubters-and-takes-the-first-steps-to-win-war-with-russia/)

September 20, 2022
September 21, 2022

Europe’s Energy Crisis Approaches Breaking Point

(Originally published on AMAC https://amac.us/europes-energy-crisis-approaches-breaking-point/)

September 16, 2022
September 21, 2022

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