The Shifting Consensus on Cuba: How the Left Fell Out of Love With Engagement

Originally posted on AMAC as

August 30, 2021
September 5, 2021

South Africa's Constitutional and Social Crisis

Once cited as an exemplar of liberal goverance, South Africa is descending into chaos, as the government tries to appease the forces of dissolution and chaos

August 12, 2021
September 5, 2021

Can Republicans Score a Comeback in the Northeast?

(Originally published on AMAC. Featured on Real Clear Politics.

August 4, 2021
September 5, 2021

Why is the Biden Administration Still Bothering with Iran?

(Originally published on AMAC and featured on Real Clear Politics under the title "Even Iran’s Leaders Are Admitting the Regime Is Corrupt, but John Kerry Is Determined to Legitimize Them")

June 17, 2021
September 5, 2021

As Trump Heads to North Carolina, Recent History Explains Why Dem Hopes for State Look Bleak

Originally written for AMAC

June 12, 2021
September 5, 2021

What would a Sino-American Clash over Taiwan actually look like?

(Originally posted on AMAC

May 1, 2021
September 5, 2021

Reflections on the on the fate of the Republic

The events at the US Capitol were not a victory for the Constitution or for Congress. Like most failed coups, the winners were political actors other than the protagonists.

January 21, 2021
January 22, 2021

We have a deal!

That the UK and the European Union concluded a trade agreement is far from any triumph of diplomatic skill. The real significance of Brexit lays in what the process revealed about both sides.

December 27, 2020
January 21, 2021

What if there was an election and no one cared? Venezuela's Opposition goes out with a whimper

Official turnout in Sunday's Venezuelan National Assembly election was a paltry 31% indicating that Maduro and his ruling PSUV did not even have to bother to rig. The opposition had all but ceased to exist beforehand.

December 8, 2020
December 9, 2020

A Deal at what cost?

Rumors of a breakdown in talks at the last moment between the UK and the EU in the past have been the prelude to the announcement of a new deal, it is unclear why this time should be different.

December 6, 2020
December 7, 2020

Present at the Restoration

Joe Biden's National Security team represents a belief that the Trump years were an aberration. It was the same conclusion Obama's incoming drew in 2009 regarding the Bush years.

November 24, 2020
December 5, 2020

A tale of two landslides: The 2020 Election

Analysis as to what pollsters missed about 2020 ignores what they got right. In 2020 failed to see what would happen. In 2020 pollsters saw everything coming, but rejected their own data.

November 23, 2020
November 23, 2020

Which Polls are right? Thoughts on the state of the race

After 2016. it was a given that skepticism would exist about Presidential polling. That uncertainty has manifested in two polling universes. One show ing a close EC race and a 3-4 point Biden lead and the other a blowout

October 7, 2020
November 3, 2020

A War No One Wants

The Armenian-Azerbaijan conflict has not only set back the development of both states, it has crippled the economic and political ambition of Turkey, Russia, Iran, and the West in the region. Yet it continues.

October 4, 2020
October 5, 2020

Present at One's Own Funeral: David Cameron's Memoirs

There is one character missing from David Cameron's memoirs, whose motives, thoughts, and feelings remain a mystery after hundreds of pages. The author

September 15, 2020
September 17, 2020

The Great Laziness: "The Great" Abandons Historical Accuracy for a Less Compelling and Backwards Fiction

Deviations from the historical record are common in entertainment. What is less common is deviations which make the past appear more backwards socially and less interesting dramatically.

May 23, 2020
May 23, 2020

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