Why I Think Momentum has turned in favor of Boris Johnson
Johnson's opponents never understood why previous efforts to unseat him both internally and externally failed, and hence are now committing the same mistakes.
The Biggest Nation-Building Failure of the Last 30 Years Isn’t Afghanistan—It’s Russia
With the benefit of three decades, the greatest failure of US foreign policy was not failing to nation build in Afghanistan or Iraq, but the refusal to invest even minimal capital in making Russia's transition a success
Liberal Justin Trudeau, on the Precipice, Faces a Reckoning in Canada
After three elections, countless scandals, and three American Presidents, Justin Truedeau's luck may be about to run out.
The Shifting Consensus on Cuba: How the Left Fell Out of Love With Engagement
Originally posted on AMAC as https://amac.us/how-biden-is-blowing-a-historic-opportunity-to-free-cuba/
South Africa's Constitutional and Social Crisis
Once cited as an exemplar of liberal goverance, South Africa is descending into chaos, as the government tries to appease the forces of dissolution and chaos
Can Republicans Score a Comeback in the Northeast?
(Originally published on AMAC. Featured on Real Clear Politics. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/authors/daniel_roman/)
As Trump Heads to North Carolina, Recent History Explains Why Dem Hopes for State Look Bleak
Originally written for AMAC https://amac.us/as-trump-heads-to-north-carolina-recent-history-explains-why-dem-hopes-for-state-look-bleak/
What would a Sino-American Clash over Taiwan actually look like?
(Originally posted on AMAC https://amac.us/could-china-win-a-war-with-the-u-s-over-taiwan/)
The Most Dangerous Place on Earth: Why China Has No Choice But to Move on Taiwan, and to Move Soon
Originally published on AMAC at https://amac.us/the-most-dangerous-place-on-earth-why-china-has-no-choice-but-to-move-on-taiwan-and-to-move-soon/
Reflections on the on the fate of the Republic
The events at the US Capitol were not a victory for the Constitution or for Congress. Like most failed coups, the winners were political actors other than the protagonists.
We have a deal!
That the UK and the European Union concluded a trade agreement is far from any triumph of diplomatic skill. The real significance of Brexit lays in what the process revealed about both sides.
What if there was an election and no one cared? Venezuela's Opposition goes out with a whimper
Official turnout in Sunday's Venezuelan National Assembly election was a paltry 31% indicating that Maduro and his ruling PSUV did not even have to bother to rig. The opposition had all but ceased to exist beforehand.
A Deal at what cost?
Rumors of a breakdown in talks at the last moment between the UK and the EU in the past have been the prelude to the announcement of a new deal, it is unclear why this time should be different.
Present at the Restoration
Joe Biden's National Security team represents a belief that the Trump years were an aberration. It was the same conclusion Obama's incoming drew in 2009 regarding the Bush years.
Which Polls are right? Thoughts on the state of the race
After 2016. it was a given that skepticism would exist about Presidential polling. That uncertainty has manifested in two polling universes. One show ing a close EC race and a 3-4 point Biden lead and the other a blowout
